Today’s repo rate cut will further help banks to lower home loan interest rates, which may get several more fence-sitters onto the market.
Tag: RBI Monetary Policy Analysis
Anuj Puri, Chairman – ANAROCK Property Consultants
The hard facts of declining consumption and a deepening economic slowdown in India are inescapable, and real estate has been severely impacted by them. To this gloomy backdrop, the RBI’s repo rate cut of 35 bps to 5.4% announced in the latest monetary policy is obviously welcome.
This rate cut, the fourth consecutive cut since February 2019, is meant to boost consumer sentiments once commercial banks transmit the benefits to actual consumers.
For real estate, a rate cut of 35 bps is however insufficient to significantly improve buyer sentiment in the mid-income segment, which still has a staggering unsold inventory of 2.17 lakh units in the top seven cities. On the other hand, demand for affordable housing, which accounted for 2.40 lakh unsold units in these cities, may see improvement as this highly budget-sensitive segment already has the benefit of other incentives.
Even minor downward revisions in interest rates can and do make a difference in affordable housing. If banks transmit this reduction in the prime lending rate to consumers, budget housing demand may improve. Likewise, housing demand in tier 2 and tier 3 cities,
Anuj Puri, Chairman – ANAROCK Property Consultants
The Reserve Bank of India’s stance of keeping the repo rate unchanged at 6% is exactly along the lines of our expectations.
Considering that the inflation has inched up (Dec-17 CPI at 5.21%, up from 3.58% in Oct-17 and well above the target of 4%), crude oil prices are rising in the international market and the Government plans to increase the crop support price, maintaining the lending rates unchanged is justified.
We believe that the interest rates will soon start inching upwards, which is already being factored into the rising bond yields for the past few months.
The real estate sector can and should look at the long-term economic prospects and implications on which the monetary policy decisions are based, as these will dictate the growth trajectory for the sector.