Prashant Thakur, Head – Research, Anarock Property Consultants

When a location in Mumbai holds the three aces of accessibility, affordability and appreciation potential and completes its hand with good social infrastructure and workplace hub integration, it can justifiably lay claim the coveted property investment hotspot tag. Kanjurmarg can – and does…

Mumbai, the financial capital of India, is legendary for its massive employment opportunities, and as a result, the city’s population has been on a constant rise. Previously, the island city was the dominant hub of commercial and residential developments.

However, over the last few decades, rising property prices and saturation of the island city has pushed real estate developments towards the suburbs and further along the peripheral areas. The biggest advantage for the suburbs to evolve as key real estate destinations is excellent connectivity through the suburban railway network.

The Saga of Mumbai’s Suburbs

Real estate activity in the western suburbs has increased substantially in the recent decades due to the establishment of commercial office complexes in the Andheri-Goregaon-Malad belt. Enhanced connectivity via the Western Express highway helped in the region’s development as a key office market of the city.

“That which does not kill us, makes us stronger” – Friedrich Nietzsche

Anuj Puri, Chairman – ANAROCK Property Consultants

Over the past one year, demonetisation has been a buzzword across all Indian industries, but much more so in real estate.

The radical move of banning high-value currency notes, seen as the Government’s surgical strike on black money, has become a landmark event in the history of the Indian economy.

Looking back on Year 1 AD (After Demonetisation), it is plain to see that it has brought significant disruptions into the overall economy – and particularly the real estate sector.

The rolling out of key policy reforms such as the Real Estate (Regulation and Development) Act [RERA] and the Goods and Services Tax [GST] compounded the aftermath effects of demonetization.

Although there was a lot of confusion and uncertainty immediately after demonetization, the shadow of this radical move now appears to be fading.

The long-term effects of demonetization on the real estate sector are aptly summed up by the wise words of the German philosopher,

Maximum City’s real estate triumphs, tribulations and opportunities on the road to future-readiness 

Mumbai, 2 November 2017ANAROCK Property Consultants today released its research report Mumbai Redefined in association with ACETECH – the world’s 3rd largest exhibition and Asia’s leading trade fair for architecture, building materials, innovation and design, driven by Economic Times.

The report was unveiled by Maharashtra Chief Minister, Devendra Fadnavis, during the conference at Bombay Exhibition Centre in Goregaon, Mumbai.

Mumbai is in the midst of major ongoing infrastructure upgrades, aimed at making the country’s financial capital more livable and ‘workable’.

Anuj Puri, Chairman – ANAROCK Property Consultants

The year 2017 has not exactly lived up to the expectations of the residential property sector. RERA has been deployed, but as of today, only 18 states and 7 Union territories have notified RERA, while 10 states are yet to notify it.

While RERA has certainly already made its expected effects felt in states like Maharashtra – which includes very important markets like Mumbai and Pune – it has not yet extended its full influence over parts of the country where RERA it is probably needed the most.

Though Haryana and UP have notified RERA, they are yet to set up the portal via which developers can upload their applications for registration of their projects. The web portal is also critical for buyers, as this is where they can check the details of projects. Also, these two states have come under heavy criticism for diluting the Centre’s RERA norms.

Anuj Puri, Chairman – Anarock Property Consultants

Be it South Delhi, South Mumbai, South Chennai, South Kolkata or South Bangalore – the Southern parts of any metro city have always ranked at the top of that city’s property pyramid.

These precincts are generally seen as the most prime and posh residential destinations and have historically housed the Who’s Who of the city.

If one wants to announce oneself or one’s business socially, buying a home or opening an office in these parts has always been seen as a pretty good bet.

This phenomenon still continues; however, with the passage of time, newer areas are competing with these legacy areas and are attracting the younger rich and the neo-rich.

Different cities are seeing this happening, largely because of the extremely limited new supply of residences in prime neighborhoods.

However, where there is any availability, wealthy buyers will always prefer a home in the Southern part of a city.

Mumbai

In Mumbai’s case, south-central Mumbai has finally shed the image of the mill district and now has superlative trophy projects under construction.

Anuj Puri, Chairman – Anarock Property Consultants

As India’s urbanization picks up speed, the traditionally-preferred property investment locations in most of the main cities are getting saturated and increasingly expensive.

This is having a roll-on effect on many other residential sub-markets across leading Indian cities. Even as more and more locations go out of the reach of a certain cross-segment of buyers that preferred it in the preceding years, other emerging areas come to the rescue.

Moreover, with the expansion of business districts and different office space occupier categories preferring newer business precincts to older ones, certain residential sub-markets in the primary cities have been finding favour from an increasing number of buyers – and, consequently, property investors.

Such sub-markets tend to offer a marked price advantage vis-à-vis the more established locations – and the residential projects coming up there are compliant with the latest development laws and tend to have more contemporary amenities.

All these ‘pull factors’ lead to such locations seeing good sales traction independent of the rate at which sales are taking place at the city level.

The hottest locations currently witnessing such trends across India’s key cities include

  • Malad (Mumbai)
  • Kharghar (Navi Mumbai)
  • Ghodbunder Road and  Pokhran Road (both in Thane)
  • Hinjewadi and  Kharadi (both in Pune)
  • Sarjapur Road,
  • Increased affordability, end-user market helped Pune’s residential market remain largely unaffected by demonetisation
  • Mumbai came close to 1H16 numbers thanks to good traction in the ‘compact homes’ category

Anuj Puri, Chairman – Anarock Property Consultants

Pune’s residential market seems to seems to have seen very little impact of demonetization if the 1H17 sales figures are anything to go by.

Although the city’s apartment sales had remained steady even in 2H16 when demonetization had affected most other markets, Pune’s sales showed a slight improvement as they rose by 4% (y-o-y) in 1H17.

With this development, Pune’s residential market has become India’s most dependable and established one.

High time to fully explore and unbox its massive potential

Anuj Puri, Chairman – Anarock Property Consultants

Several breakthrough reforms with pertinence to the Indian real estate sector saw the light of the day over the last one year.

Be it demonetization – the Government’s ‘surgical strike’ against black money – the revolutionary RERA or the unified tax regime of GST – all bore the power of rendering the Indian real estate sector more transparent and professional.

The upward trajectory of consumer sentiment is a strong indicator that the market has responded well to these reforms. The incumbent Government has embarked on a determined journey to transform the Indian realty sector into a more wholesome industry.

While the primary and secondary residential markets undoubtedly benefited from the plethora of reforms, the rental market has also received a shot in the arm. Various reforms and announcements made over the last one year can potentially boost this crucial segment of the Indian real estate sector:

  • April 2017: An End to Fake Rent Receipts

Under Section 10(13A) of the Income Tax Act,

Anuj Puri, Chairman – Anarock Property Consultants

Every year, the end of August ushers in the beginning of festive season in India.

Religious sentiments lead innumerable Indians to plan important purchases and investments – including real estate – during this period.

Naturally, developers also plan for these months well ahead of their arrival with a view to cash in on this positive sentiment.

Unfortunately, last year’s festive season did not meet their expectations as buyers stayed away from the market – primarily due to execution delays, an uncertain economic scenario and unattractively high prices.

Demonetization also played a key part in the depressed sentiment – not only in the resale market as was at first expected, but in primary sales as well.

Most aspiring home buyers deferred their purchase decisions, preferring to wait until RERA kicked in fully. Though most developers offered compelling discounts and schemes, buyers stuck to their cautious approach during the last festive season.

However, the 2017 festive season has started on an altogether different and far more positive note.

While structural reforms by ways of RERA and GST have helped firm up buyer sentiment,

Anuj Puri, Chairman – Anarock Property Consultants

After recognizing a massive gap of housing in India, the Union government had announced ‘Housing for All’ by 2022 in July 2015 to achieve the staggering target of bridging a gap of more 1.9 crore houses. 96% out of these are required for the Lower Income Groups (LIG) and Economically Weaker Sections (EWS) groups.

In India, while the population is growing at more than 2.1% every year and may touch 1.51 billion by 2030, growth in housing has been unable to keep the same pace. The Central and States governments are now contemplating many ways and means to provide access to housing for all.

Affordable housing will not only fill the housing gap but be the next major economic growth driver by creating more than 2 million jobs during the period till 2022. To fill the massive gap of affordable housing in India, the government has come up with a spate of many initiatives:

  • To encourage the PPP (Public Private Partnerships) module which can amplify affordable housing, the Union Budget 2016-17 announced that developers would be exempt from paying tax on profits in this segment for five years starting 2016
  • The Government has increased the time limit to complete affordable housing projects from 3 to 5 years.